Water lacks the complex hydrocarbon and sugar chains necessary for it to be readily turned into wine. I have no idea how Jesus did it, if he did it.
My bet is that he simply sent out for some Gallo.
After all, if he could turn water into wine, he wouldn't have been a wandering preacher; he'd have opened a tavern!
Is the story a metaphor? I don't know. It never occurred to me to wonder. It's an interesting point, though.
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